đ Hey, Iâm George Chasiotis. Welcome to GrowthWaves, your weekly dose of B2B growth insightsâfeaturing powerful case studies, emerging trends, and unconventional strategies you wonât find anywhere else.
This note is brought to you by Attio.
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Everyoneâs cooked nowadays.
And if theyâre not already cooked, they will be.
And, quite frankly, Iâm sick and tired of the whole thing.
Reading all these âcontrarianâ LinkedIn posts declaring industries or companies âdead.â
Or sharing half-assed opinions just for engagement.
Iâll use one of these opinions and try to make a sober analysis of it.
Whether Iâm right or wrong isnât as important.
Objectivity and clarity are.
Letâs go.
The post
As I was looking for the topic of my next note on Monday morning, I came across this LinkedIn post:
To be clear: I donât like to pick on individuals and companies. I donât know the person who made the post. We contacted them after publishing this note so theyâd have the opportunity to reply. I respect their opinion and way of thinking, but at the same time, Iâm entitled to mine.
Now that weâve got the disclaimers out of the way, letâs get to the meat of this.
This postâlike many othersâcreates a perception that may not be accurate.
As expected, LinkedIn went ballistic, claiming SEO dead (once again) and marching towards an AI utopia where project management software is irrelevant or at least not as necessary as it used to be.
Very few sober voices raised the same (fact-based) concerns Iâm addressing here.
Now, before you reach any conclusions about my relationship with Monday and my interest in writing this post, Iâll stop you right there.
Thereâs no relationship with Monday (even though weâd love to have them as clients at Restartt), and Iâm not incentivized to write this in any way.
We used to be customers of Monday for one of my companies, but weâre not anymore. (Iâm not the biggest fan of the product.)
This post has little to do with Monday and everything to do with how perceptions are formed online based on opinions that, in most cases, serve personal interests and arenât factually accurate.
So, what are some of the key claims the post makes (high-level)?
Monday.comâs stock had a ~40% market cap loss in the past month.
Argues itâs not due to earnings or product challenges (like vibe coding), but due to Googleâs AI Overviews and chatbots eroding their SEO-driven growth engine.
Says Monday.com is one of the first major SaaS firms to âpublicly confirmâ AI-generated answers are bypassing websites.
Backs the claim with Cloudflare CEO Matthew Princeâs comments at Cannes, sharing stats about AI crawlers vs. Google crawlers.
Suggests inbound marketing as we know it is breaking, and Monday.com is an early casualty of this shift.
Mentions that SEO budgets are being reallocated.
So, essentially:
Traffic is down because of AI overviews
That affects Mondayâs ability to attract customers
It impacts its forward guidance to the investing community
And as a result, the stock is down
The post also involves AI chatbot crawlers, Cloudflare, but quite frankly, I find it difficult to find the connection.
So far, so good.
Letâs try to see what truth and whatâs not in this post.
Reality check
Iâll pick six key claims made in the post and try to explain (using different sources) whatâs wrong with them.
Claim #1: âThey beat by 27%.â
Whatâs true: 27% was revenue growth, not the âbeat.â The actual percentage beat was 1.8%.
âRevenue was $299.0 million, an increase of 27% year-over-year.â â Press release (Business Wire).
âShares tumbled 26% ⌠as investors reacted to a Q3 revenue forecast of $311â$313 million, signaling a conservative outlook.â â Barronâs.
âMNDY stock dropped 27% ⌠despite these strong results.â â Investorâs Business Daily.
âThis was the smallest percentage beat (1.8%) MNDY has reported since going public,â â Investorâs Business Daily.
This might not be the most important claim (for the purposes of this note), but itâs important in the context of what weâre discussing.
Claim #2: âSEO budgets are being reallocatedâ
Whatâs true: The earnings call (a call between analysts covering Mondayâs stock and the companyâs executives) discussed marketing reallocation broadly, not SEO-specific cuts.
âWe monitor all the performance stuff⌠we see areas that we are more efficient in, so we move resources there.â â Roy Mann (Co-CEO), transcript.
âWeâre already taking actions to reallocate resources to places that we see greater return.â â Eliran Glazer (CFO), transcript.
There isnât an explicit mention of SEO budgets allocated elsewhere.
This is important because itâs part of the framing of the post.
Claim #3: âHigh-intent leads remain, but volume has crateredâ
Whatâs true: Management said high-quality intent remains, and the drop was volume-related, but not significant.
âThe better, high-quality customers still click on Google and ads⌠The drop that we see is just on volume⌠not that significant for the higher-quality customers.â â Roy Mann (Co-CEO), transcript.
âWe are seeing some softness within the down market due to the changes in the Google algorithm. But this is temporary, we believeâŚâ â Eliran Glazer (CFO), transcript.
Claim #4: âAI Overviews and chatbots have started to kill their growth engine.â
Whatâs true: They acknowledged some down-market softness but stressed enterprise strength and record $100K+ account additions.
âIn Q2 we achieved a record number of net new adds of customers paying over $100,000 annually.â â Eran Zinman (Co-CEO), transcript.
âWe believe this is temporary⌠and we are already taking actions proactively to address this.â â Eliran Glazer (CFO), transcript.
Additionally:
âNet dollar retention rate was 111%.â â Press release.
Essentially, Monday said that Googleâs changes impact its acquisition ability at the bottom end of the market.
This isnât the same as their âgrowth engine has started getting killed.â
Claim #5: âMonday.com is one of the first major SaaS firms to publicly confirm AI answers are bypassing websites; inbound is breaking.â
Whatâs true: They did not make an industry-wide claim; they reported limited Google-related softness and reiterated up-market strength.
âDemand in general remains very strong⌠record net adds for the $100,000 customers⌠very good traction and momentum upmarket.â â Eliran Glazer (CFO), transcript.
âItâs not such a significant impact⌠and we can mitigate that in many different ways.â â Roy Mann (Co-CEO), transcript.
Other companies, such as NerdWallet, have already started discussing the impact of AI in their acquisition efforts.
So, Monday is certainly not the first company to raise the issue.
But thatâs not the same as âinbound is breaking.â
Claim #6: âThe drop was about Google; not because of earnings.â
Whatâs true: Coverage ties the stock plunge primarily to cautious outlook and guidance math, not Google alone.
âShares tumbled 26% ⌠as investors reacted to a Q3 revenue forecast of $311â$313 million, signaling a conservative outlook.â â Barronâs.
âEarnings topped views⌠But MNDY stock dives.â â Investorâs Business Daily.
In public markets, thereâs this thing called âforward guidance,â which basically describes the companyâs guidance to the investing community regarding its future performance.
The drop wasnât about Google as the post claims, it was about its forward guidance and future outlook.
Why is this important?
You may be wondering:
âGeorge, I thought this newsletter was about marketing and growth. What does all that have to do with marketing and growth, and why should I care about Mondayâs stock, anyway?â
First of all, Iâm not here to offer financial advice.
Iâm here to help you better understand B2B marketing and growth by sharing things you wonât find elsewhere.
Iâd like to believe I succeed at that most of the time, even if I occasionally miss the mark.
The real problem is this:
If youâre in marketing and growth, a post like this affects you in more ways than you can imagine.
Because hereâs the internal dialogue your CMO will have once they read a post like this:
âOh man, Monday is in big trouble.â
âMaybe I should reallocate my {channel} budget as well?â
â... because I read a similar post for {SaaS company} the other day.â
âYeah, thatâs exactly what Iâm going to do.â
âFirst, Iâm going to fire the agency.â
âThen, Iâm going to allocate our budget for {channel} to {channel}.â
âWhich means I need to find another agency for that.â
That may sound a bit far-fetchedâitâs a hypothetical scenario after allâbut Iâve been (to my displeasure) part of conversations such as this one.
Youâd be surprised by how many people form their opinions based on something they read online.
Because for a while now, the way it goes on LinkedIn isâŚ
Paid search = Expensive and not working
Paid social = Same
LinkedIn = Pay-to-play and getting worse
SEO = The last thing companies care about
Events = Expensive and less effective
Cold outbound = Hasnât worked since 2015
Signal-based outbound = Promising but too complicated
Creators = Doesnât work unless youâre Clay
Webinars = No one joins them
Blog = No one visits it anymore
Gated content = Forbidden because people don't like it
Branded swag = Expensive and bad for the environment
You know what?
Stop doing all these things. Seriously.
Or better, wait for some AI bro to declare them âdeadâ first.
Seriously, walk away.
So the rest of us can dominate in peace.
Because the more people leave a channel, the less competition there is.
As my friend Vukasin said in a conversation a few months ago:
âMarketing channels donât die. They evolve. Our job is to evolve faster.â
Or, as my friend Silvio often says:
âItâs not what you do; itâs how you do it.â
TO BE CLEAR
Things do change.
Thereâs volatility. Some channels mature. Others become less effective.
BUT
It didnât work for them? Cool. Youâre not them.
I know companies and agencies that are killing it.
And they do so by using some of the channels mentioned in this bullet list.
Trust your gut, your numbers, and your customers.
Not a post from someone whoâs *never* built anything themselves.
Final thoughts
No, Monday isnât cooked.
At least not because Googleâs AI Overviews âbrokeâ their inbound engine.
But again, this note isnât about Monday.
Itâs about thinking twice about everything you read online.
And never forming your perception solely on othersâ opinions (including mine).
Marketing and growth are becoming increasingly complicated.
We need more clarity and factual information.
I hope this piece helped you understand why.
Sources
Disclaimer
The information in this post is provided for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or legal advice, nor a solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Opinions are those of the author and may change. Do your own research; past performance is not indicative of future results.